Independent thinking for long-term investing.

Research notes on markets, cycles, technology and the forces reshaping capital allocation.

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Research begins with better questions.
01 / About

Experience shaped by markets, discipline and perspective.

With more than 15 years of experience in finance and investing, I have invested across a broad range of global asset classes and market cycles. This experience has shaped a disciplined approach to identifying opportunities while protecting against downside risk.

My work is grounded in rigorous risk control, a global perspective on arbitrage opportunities, and the continuous study of macroeconomic and industrial policy. This website is a home for my research notes, observations and long-form essays.

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02 / Insights

Featured research

Essays and notes on the ideas shaping capital markets.

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Modern European industrial infrastructure at dusk

The EU Industrial Accelerator Act: The Emergence of a European Industrial Defense System

Europe is moving from an open-market model toward conditional openness. What does this mean for Chinese companies and the next phase of China-EU economic relations?

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Modern European industrial infrastructure at dusk

The EU Industrial Accelerator Act: The Emergence of a European Industrial Defense System

Ripples reflecting a glass facade

Liquidity, Narrative and Market Structure

Close-up of a silicon wafer

Semiconductors and the Long Arc of Technology

03 / Themes

Research themes

Four lenses for making sense of a complex world.

  1. 01

    Capital Cycles

    Where investment flows, and what happens next.

  2. 02

    Technology

    The long arcs hidden inside short-term excitement.

  3. 03

    Market Structure

    Liquidity, positioning and the stories investors tell.

  4. 04

    Resilience

    How to think clearly when uncertainty rises.

04 / Contact

Let’s exchange ideas.

For research discussions, collaboration, or a thoughtful hello.

hello@hupengresearch.com